Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004869 0.005359 0.005889 0.006504 0.007203 0.007973 0.008892
2025-09-28 0.003994 0.004655 0.005422 0.006385 0.007573 0.009005 0.010881
2025-10-05 0.003537 0.004280 0.005185 0.006383 0.007949 0.009960 0.012790
2025-10-12 0.003261 0.004067 0.005087 0.006498 0.008437 0.011066 0.015008
2025-10-19 0.002978 0.003804 0.004884 0.006430 0.008643 0.011787 0.016766
2025-10-26 0.002755 0.003593 0.004719 0.006382 0.008852 0.012512 0.018612
2025-11-02 0.002551 0.003387 0.004536 0.006281 0.008959 0.013080 0.020276
2025-11-09 0.002413 0.003260 0.004450 0.006307 0.009248 0.013952 0.022565
2025-11-16 0.002267 0.003108 0.004314 0.006239 0.009376 0.014568 0.024495
2025-11-23 0.002118 0.002941 0.004140 0.006095 0.009361 0.014932 0.026011
2025-11-30 0.002037 0.002867 0.004101 0.006158 0.009691 0.015928 0.028906
2025-12-07 0.001989 0.002839 0.004128 0.006327 0.010216 0.017339 0.032905
2025-12-14 0.001870 0.002700 0.003978 0.006200 0.010224 0.017821 0.035121
2025-12-21 0.001764 0.002575 0.003843 0.006087 0.010252 0.018354 0.037598
2025-12-28 0.001690 0.002495 0.003775 0.006085 0.010482 0.019324 0.041319
2026-01-04 0.001643 0.002456 0.003770 0.006194 0.010936 0.020822 0.046730
2026-01-11 0.001568 0.002368 0.003676 0.006130 0.011037 0.021573 0.050386
2026-01-18 0.001503 0.002290 0.003596 0.006084 0.011171 0.022414 0.054517
2026-01-25 0.001435 0.002204 0.003494 0.005989 0.011189 0.022987 0.058034
2026-02-01 0.001390 0.002156 0.003456 0.006014 0.011464 0.024217 0.063930
2026-02-08 0.001335 0.002086 0.003376 0.005950 0.011538 0.024962 0.068508
2026-02-15 0.001273 0.002002 0.003265 0.005814 0.011438 0.025247 0.071633
2026-02-22 0.001243 0.001972 0.003251 0.005873 0.011789 0.026775 0.079708